Regional and gender differences in laryngeal cancer mortality: trends and predictions until 2030 in Brazil.

Regional and gender differences in laryngeal cancer mortality: trends and predictions until 2030 in Brazil.

Oral Surg Oral Med Oral Pathol Oral Radiol. 2016 Jun 29;

Authors: Dantas de Oliveira NP, Barbosa IR, Vieria Paulino JN, de Camargo Cancela M, Bezerra de Souza DL

Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Analysis of laryngeal cancer mortality trends in Brazil and its geographic regions for the period 1996-2010 and calculation of mortality predictions for the period 2011-2030.
STUDY DESIGN: An epidemiologic, ecologic, demographic-based study, which utilized information from the Mortality Information System on all cancer-related deaths in Brazil, is presented here. Mortality trends were analyzed by Joinpoint regression, and Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions.
RESULTS: When comparing the last observed period and the last predicted period for men, an increase of 10,588 deaths is expected, representing an increase of 69%. For women, the expected increase in the number of deaths will be 2217, representing an increase of 104%. Laryngeal cancer mortality rates will increase in the North and Northeast regions for men and in the Northeast and Southeast regions for women.
CONCLUSIONS: Despite the current high mortality for laryngeal cancer, rates will continue to increase until 2030 in Brazil.

PMID: 27601348 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

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