Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Is an Independent Predictor of 30-Day Mortality of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Patients: a Validation Cohort Study

Abstract

In a previous study in patients with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), we found an association between high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with poor short-term mortality. In the current study, this preliminary finding was validated using an independent patient cohort. A total of 181 ICH patients (from January 2016 to December 2017) were included. Diagnosis was confirmed using computed tomography (CT) in all cases. Patient survival (up to 30 days) was compared between subjects with high NLR (above the 7.35 cutoff; n = 74) versus low NLR (≤ 7.35; n = 107) using Kaplan-Meier analysis. A multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify factors that influenced the 30-day mortality. Correlation between NLR with other relevant factors (e.g., C-reactive protein (CRP) and fibrinogen) was examined using Spearman correlation analysis. The 30-day mortality was 19.3% (35/181) in the entire sample, 37.8% (28/74) in the high-NLR group, and 6.5% (7/107) in the low-NLR group (P < 0.001). In comparison to the low-NLR group, the high-NLR group had higher rate of intraventricular hemorrhage (29.7 vs. 16.8%), ICH volume (median 23.9 vs. 6.0 cm³) and ICH score (median 1.5 vs. 0), and lower GCS score (9.4 ± 4.5 vs. 12.9 ± 3.2). An analysis that divided the samples into three equal parts based on NLR also showed increasing 30-day mortality with incremental NLR (1.6, 15.0, and 41.7% from lowest to highest NLR tertile, P for trend < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier curve showed higher 30-day mortality in subjects with high NLR than those with low NLR (P < 0.001 vs. low-NLR group, log-rank test). High NLR (> 7.35) is associated with poor short-term survival in acute ICH patients.

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